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UEFA Euro 2020 Forecast

An Elo-based forecast model for UEFA Euro 2020 that predicts matches and tournament stage chances. How does this work?

Congrats to Italy for winning Euro 2020! How did the forecast do?

Current Forecast

Use the scroll bar to see more probabilities. To sort by multiple columns, hold the shift key and click on them. It is important to note that this represents a likelihood of events happening.

Legend

Elo: The current Elo ratings for all teams.

Make R16: The chance a team has to make the round of 16. The top two teams in each group and the top four 3rd place teams qualify for this stage.

Make QF: The chance a team has to make the quarterfinals.

Make SF: The chance a team has to make the semifinals.

Make Finals: The chance a team has to make the finals.

Win Finals: The chance a team has to win the finals

Changes Over Time

How the forecast altered during the tournament.

Chance to Win the Finals

Chance to Make the Round of 16: Groups A/B Chance to Make the Round of 16: Groups C/D Chance to Make the Round of 16: Groups E/F

Match Predictions

Completed Matches

Other Stuff

UEFA Euro 2020 Scores courtesy SportsReference.com.

Elo ratings from the World Football Elo Ratings.

Follow us on Twitter: @theprforecast

Check out our other forecasts.

Page built by @zecellomaster.

Found any errors? Want to make a suggestion? Have any comments? Email us: theprojectionroomdata@gmail.com